2 matches are on Wednesday's card at Lyon (France), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Benjamin Bonzi against Tommy Paul in the round of 16. Our calls: Paul over Bonzi, Landaluce over Wawrinka.
Pick: Landaluce
Win probability: 54% Landaluce · Market: -156 · We call it in 3 sets (50%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (28%)
Wednesday's Lyon (France) round of 32 pits Martin Landaluce against Stan Wawrinka on clay. Martin Landaluce is rolling — 4 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Stan Wawrinka is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (2 of the last 10).
Martin Landaluce simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Landaluce gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Paul
Win probability: 74% Paul · Market: -227 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (47%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Benjamin Bonzi goes up against Tommy Paul in the Lyon (France) round of 16. Tommy Paul is 6-4 across recent matches. Benjamin Bonzi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
Tommy Paul is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Paul around 74%. If Paul plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
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