2 matches are on Saturday's card at Brussels, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Francisco Cerundolo against Tallon Griekspoor in the semifinal. Our calls: Cerundolo over Griekspoor, Fils over Struff.
Pick: Cerundolo
Win probability: 60% Cerundolo · Market: -148 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Saturday's Brussels semifinal pits Francisco Cerundolo against Tallon Griekspoor on hard. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10. Tallon Griekspoor has won 5 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Griekspoor comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Cerundolo gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Fils
Win probability: 76% Fils · Market: -355 · We call it in 2 sets (66%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (53%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the Brussels semifinal. Arthur Fils is 7-3 across recent matches. Jan Lennard Struff comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Fils plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
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