Tennis predictions, October 24, 2026: Shnaider vs Rybakina, Fernandez vs Bouzkova

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Diana Shnaider goes up against Elena Rybakina in the Ningbo semifinal. Elena Rybakina comes in at 9 wins from the last ten. Diana Shnaider has won 7 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Shnaider's 62.5%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Shnaider comes in off a compressed schedule; Rybakina comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Rybakina win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Saturday's Ningbo semifinal pits Leylah Fernandez against Marie Bouzkova on hard. Leylah Fernandez is 8-2 across recent matches. Marie Bouzkova is 7-3 across recent matches.

Leylah Fernandez is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fernandez around 51%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fernandez fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Saturday's Brussels semifinal pits Francisco Cerundolo against Tallon Griekspoor on hard. Francisco Cerundolo has won 6 of the last 10. Tallon Griekspoor has won 5 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Griekspoor comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Cerundolo gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Saturday's Osaka semifinal pits Katerina Siniakova against Katie Boulter on hard. Katerina Siniakova is 5-5 across recent matches. Katie Boulter is 5-5 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Siniakova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Ann Li goes up against Ashlyn Krueger in the Osaka semifinal. Ann Li is 7-3 across recent matches. Ashlyn Krueger comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Li fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the Brussels semifinal. Arthur Fils is 7-3 across recent matches. Jan Lennard Struff comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Fils plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.