2 matches are on Saturday's card at Osaka, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Katerina Siniakova against Katie Boulter in the semifinal. Our calls: Siniakova over Boulter, Li over Krueger.
Pick: Li
Win probability: 58% Li · Market: -143 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Ann Li goes up against Ashlyn Krueger in the Osaka semifinal. Ann Li is 7-3 across recent matches. Ashlyn Krueger comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Li fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Siniakova
Win probability: 54% Siniakova · Market: -150 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Saturday's Osaka semifinal pits Katerina Siniakova against Katie Boulter on hard. Katerina Siniakova is 5-5 across recent matches. Katie Boulter is 5-5 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Siniakova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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