One match is on Sunday's card at Florence (Italy), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Filippo Romano against Michele Ribecai in the final. Our calls: Ribecai over Romano.
Pick: Ribecai
Win probability: 57% Ribecai · Market: -142 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Sunday brings the Florence (Italy) final: Filippo Romano against Michele Ribecai. Michele Ribecai limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Filippo Romano has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Michele Ribecai is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ribecai around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ribecai fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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