One match is on Sunday's card at Osaka, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ashlyn Krueger against Katerina Siniakova in the final. Our calls: Krueger over Siniakova.
The boldest call on the card: Krueger over Siniakova — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: KruegerUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Siniakova the favorite; our numbers say Krueger.
Win probability: 51% Krueger · Market: +123 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
The Osaka title is on the line on Sunday, when Ashlyn Krueger meets Katerina Siniakova. Ashlyn Krueger is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Katerina Siniakova is 5-5 across recent matches.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Krueger gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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