4 matches are on Thursday's card at Seoul, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Dylan Hara Friend Jay against Sho Shimabukuro in the round of 16. Our calls: Jay over Shimabukuro, Atmane over Daniel, Kachmazov over Hong, Wong over Sakellaridis.
Pick: Atmane
Win probability: 63% Atmane · Market: -143 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Taro Daniel and Terence Atmane meet in the round of 16 at Seoul on Thursday. Terence Atmane comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Taro Daniel is 6-4 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 72.8% versus 66.9% on first-serve points in Atmane's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Atmane.
Pick: Kachmazov
Win probability: 50% Kachmazov · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (25%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alibek Kachmazov goes up against Seong Chan Hong in the Seoul round of 16. Alibek Kachmazov comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Seong Chan Hong comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.9% versus 66.2% on first-serve points in Kachmazov's favor. Little separates them; Kachmazov gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Jay
Win probability: 54% Jay · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)
Dylan Hara Friend Jay and Sho Shimabukuro meet in the round of 16 at Seoul on Thursday. Dylan Hara Friend Jay has won 7 of the last 10. Sho Shimabukuro is 4-6 across recent matches.
Dylan Hara Friend Jay simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jay fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Wong
Win probability: 65% Wong · Market: -161 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)
Coleman Wong and Stefanos Sakellaridis meet in the round of 16 at Seoul on Thursday. Coleman Wong has won 7 of the last 10. Stefanos Sakellaridis comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Wong's 74.8% behind the first serve (against 71.2% for Sakellaridis) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Wong should have enough here, though Sakellaridis has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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