2 matches are on Friday's card at Guangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jil Teichmann against Kaitlin Quevedo in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Quevedo over Teichmann, Badosa over Dart.
Pick: Badosa
Win probability: 67% Badosa · Market: -220 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (45%)
Harriet Dart and Paula Badosa meet in the quarterfinal at Guangzhou on Friday. Paula Badosa has won 6 of the last 10. Harriet Dart is 5-5 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Badosa — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Quevedo
Win probability: 54% Quevedo · Market: -139 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Jil Teichmann and Kaitlin Quevedo meet in the quarterfinal at Guangzhou on Friday. Kaitlin Quevedo comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Jil Teichmann is 8-2 across recent matches.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Quevedo fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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