Vienna Predictions & Picks — October 31, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 31, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Saturday's card at Vienna, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Carlos Alcaraz against Daniil Medvedev in the semifinal. Our calls: Alcaraz over Medvedev, Zverev over Minaur.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 67% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 7-6.

Pick: Alcaraz

Win probability: 67% Alcaraz · Market: -210 · We call it in 2 sets (65%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (46%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Carlos Alcaraz goes up against Daniil Medvedev in the Vienna semifinal. Carlos Alcaraz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Daniil Medvedev has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule; Medvedev comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Alcaraz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Alex De Minaur vs Alexander Zverev

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Alexander Zverev at 65%, but Alex De Minaur won 6-4 1-6 7-6.

Pick: Zverev

Win probability: 65% Zverev · Market: -229 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (42%)

Saturday's Vienna semifinal pits Alex De Minaur against Alexander Zverev on hard. Alexander Zverev is 8-2 across recent matches. Alex De Minaur is 9-1 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.7% versus 69% on first-serve points in Zverev's favor. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Zverev comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zverev.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

Alex De Minaur vs Alexander Zverev

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