A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alberto Caniato Carlo goes up against Lorenzo Giustino in the Taranto (Italy) round of 32. Lorenzo Giustino is 7-3 across recent matches. Alberto Caniato Carlo is 6-4 across recent matches.

Lorenzo Giustino simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Giustino is exactly that — a lean.