Paris · R64 · Clay · best of 3 · Nov 3, 2026, 3:55 PM UTC
Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · November 3, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka meet in the round of 64 at Paris on Tuesday. Jiri Lehecka is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Alex Michelsen is 5-5 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 73.1% versus 70% on first-serve points in Lehecka's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Lehecka.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-174(63.5% Lehecka)
Market-137(57.8% Lehecka)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Alex Michelsen
1698
Jiri Lehecka
1848
Overall rating
Alex Michelsen
1931
Jiri Lehecka
2020
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alex Michelsen
Jiri Lehecka
1st serve in
65.7%
61.8%
1st serve points won
70%
73.1%
2nd serve points won
51.7%
51.4%
Form
Alex Michelsen
5–5
Jiri Lehecka
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka?
Maiden gives Jiri Lehecka a 63% chance to beat Alex Michelsen in the Paris round of 64 on November 3, 2026.
How confident is the Jiri Lehecka pick?
63% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 63%, picks in that range have won 64% of the time (363 so far). See the track record page for the full table.