US Open · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Cristina Bucsa vs. Himeno Sakatsume — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 3, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Cristina Bucsa goes up against Himeno Sakatsume in the US Open round of 64. Cristina Bucsa comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Himeno Sakatsume is 5-5 across recent matches.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bucsa fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-123(55.2% Bucsa)
Market-191(65.6% Bucsa)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Cristina Bucsa
1688
Himeno Sakatsume
1653
Overall rating
Cristina Bucsa
1711
Himeno Sakatsume
1610
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Cristina Bucsa
Himeno Sakatsume
1st serve in
65.3%
65.1%
1st serve points won
58.8%
61.4%
2nd serve points won
44%
45.9%
Form
Cristina Bucsa
3–7
Himeno Sakatsume
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Cristina Bucsa vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Maiden gives Cristina Bucsa a 55% chance to beat Himeno Sakatsume in the US Open round of 64 on September 3, 2026.
How confident is the Cristina Bucsa pick?
55% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 55%, picks in that range have won 62% of the time (118 so far). See the track record page for the full table.