Monday's Paris round of 64 pits Denis Shapovalov against Karen Khachanov on clay. Karen Khachanov limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Khachanov should have enough here, though Shapovalov has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.