Costa do Sauipe · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · November 3, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Facundo Diaz Acosta goes up against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32. Facundo Diaz Acosta has won 6 of the last 10. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Facundo Diaz Acosta simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Acosta should have enough here, though Almeida has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-161(61.7% Acosta)
Market-148(59.7% Acosta)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Facundo Diaz Acosta
1846
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1730
Overall rating
Facundo Diaz Acosta
1808
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1688
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1st serve in
64.4%
63.2%
1st serve points won
67.5%
65.2%
2nd serve points won
50.5%
49.4%
Form
Facundo Diaz Acosta
6–4
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Maiden gives Facundo Diaz Acosta a 62% chance to beat Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on November 3, 2026.
How confident is the Facundo Diaz Acosta pick?
62% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 62%, picks in that range have won 65% of the time (559 so far). See the track record page for the full table.