US Open · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Harriet Dart vs. Marie Bouzkova — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 3, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
Share pick
Thursday's US Open round of 64 pits Harriet Dart against Marie Bouzkova on hard. Marie Bouzkova has won 6 of the last 10. Harriet Dart is 3-7 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Bouzkova plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-264(72.5% Bouzkova)
Market-431(81.2% Bouzkova)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Harriet Dart
1584
Marie Bouzkova
1767
Overall rating
Harriet Dart
1587
Marie Bouzkova
1890
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Harriet Dart
Marie Bouzkova
1st serve in
55.5%
65.9%
1st serve points won
63.6%
61.9%
2nd serve points won
44.6%
44.4%
Form
Harriet Dart
3–7
Marie Bouzkova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Harriet Dart vs Marie Bouzkova?
Maiden gives Marie Bouzkova a 73% chance to beat Harriet Dart in the US Open round of 64 on September 3, 2026.
How confident is the Marie Bouzkova pick?
73% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 73%, picks in that range have won 70% of the time (56 so far). See the track record page for the full table.