Jasmine Paolini won 6-3 3-6 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 67% on Jasmine Paolini, who won 6-3 3-6 6-4.
Sunday's US Open first round pits Jasmine Paolini against Veronika Erjavec on hard. Jasmine Paolini has won 6 of the last 10. Veronika Erjavec limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
Jasmine Paolini is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Paolini around 67%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Paolini.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jasmine Paolini | Veronika Erjavec |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 68% | 64.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.4% | 58.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 47.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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