Katerina Siniakova won 6-4 6-3
Nailed it. We had Katerina Siniakova at 55% before the match, and Katerina Siniakova won 6-4 6-3.
Thursday's Beijing first round pits Katerina Siniakova against Magda Linette on hard. Katerina Siniakova has won 4 of the last 10. Magda Linette limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
Katerina Siniakova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Siniakova fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Katerina Siniakova | Magda Linette |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.5% | 63.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 61.1% | 63.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.4% | 46% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.