Thursday's Osaka round of 16 pits Katerina Siniakova against Magda Linette on hard. Katerina Siniakova has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Magda Linette comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.

Katerina Siniakova is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Siniakova around 59%. Little separates them; Siniakova gets the nod on the finest of margins.