Cincinnati · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 14, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC · Cancelled
Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Timofeeva — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 14, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Katerina Siniakova goes up against Maria Timofeeva in the Cincinnati first round. Katerina Siniakova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Maria Timofeeva has won 7 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Siniakova should have enough here, though Timofeeva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-216(68.4% Siniakova)
Market-176(63.7% Siniakova)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Katerina Siniakova
1775
Maria Timofeeva
1784
Overall rating
Katerina Siniakova
1821
Maria Timofeeva
1821
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Katerina Siniakova
Maria Timofeeva
1st serve in
62.5%
67.2%
1st serve points won
61.1%
59.3%
2nd serve points won
44.4%
47.3%
Form
Katerina Siniakova
4–6
Maria Timofeeva
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Katerina Siniakova vs Maria Timofeeva?
Maiden gives Katerina Siniakova a 68% chance to beat Maria Timofeeva in the Cincinnati first round on August 14, 2026.
How confident is the Katerina Siniakova pick?
68% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 68%, picks in that range have won 73% of the time (120 so far). See the track record page for the full table.