A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Katerina Siniakova goes up against Marie Bouzkova in the Strasbourg round of 32. Marie Bouzkova is 6-4 across recent matches. Katerina Siniakova has won 6 of the last 10.

Katerina Siniakova has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 against Marie Bouzkova. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

Marie Bouzkova is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Bouzkova around 55%. Little separates them; Bouzkova gets the nod on the finest of margins.