Nuria Brancaccio and Veronika Erjavec meet in the round of 16 at Tolentino on Thursday. Veronika Erjavec has won 3 of the last 10. Nuria Brancaccio comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 58.6% versus 55.1% on first-serve points in Erjavec's favor. Brancaccio comes in off a compressed schedule; Erjavec comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Erjavec is exactly that — a lean.