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Weekly review

Week in picks — August 10–16, 2026

A week the model would happily sign again: Maiden went 108-65 (62.4%) across 173 graded picks (tennis 97-56, UFC 4-4, cricket 7-5).

The best call

Mattia Bellucci at 51% in Mattia Bellucci vs. Zachary Svajda. The market had the other side; we published the upset call anyway, and it landed.

The one that hurt

Ben Shelton at 85% in Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria. It lost. It stays on the record like everything else we publish.

Tennis

Tennis carried 97-56 (63.4%) over 153 graded picks, accuracy score 0.228 — lower is better, 0.25 is a coin flip; the sim called 61 exact set scores on the nose; upset calls against the market went 4-7.

UFC

UFC went 4-4 over 8 graded fight picks — the cage was kind this week. Every fight below links its full result and pick review.

Cricket

Cricket leans went 7-5 over 12 graded matches, priced pre-toss as always. Each match below links its full review.

Frequently asked questions

How did Maiden's sports picks do in the week of August 10–16, 2026?
Maiden went 108-65 (62.4%) across 173 graded picks in the week of August 10–16, 2026 (tennis 97-56, UFC 4-4, cricket 7-5). Every pick is graded against the number we published before the event.
What was Maiden's best call in the week of August 10–16, 2026?
Mattia Bellucci at 51% in Mattia Bellucci vs. Zachary Svajda — an upset call against the market favorite that landed.
What was Maiden's worst miss in the week of August 10–16, 2026?
Ben Shelton at 85% in Ben Shelton vs. Jaime Faria — the strongest published number that lost. It remains on the public record.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets. This review is generated straight from the graded record.