Toronto & Montreal predictions, August 11, 2026: Bencic vs. Gauff, Fils vs. Jodar

Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff meet in the quarterfinal at Toronto on Tuesday. Coco Gauff is rolling — 3 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Belinda Bencic comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Coco Gauff, 5-2 across their 7 meetings with Belinda Bencic. On hard specifically it reads 4-2 Gauff — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gauff fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Arthur Fils goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Montreal quarterfinal. Arthur Fils is 7-3 across recent matches. Rafael Jodar has won 8 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Arthur Fils, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Rafael Jodar.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.2% versus 69.4% on first-serve points in Fils's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fils fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Ben Shelton and Jakub Mensik meet in the quarterfinal at Montreal on Tuesday. Ben Shelton has won 7 of the last 10. Jakub Mensik has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shelton fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Montreal quarterfinal pits Daniel Merida Aguilar against Learner Tien on hard. Learner Tien brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Daniel Merida Aguilar is rolling — 4 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

Tien's 68% behind the first serve (against 63.9% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Tien — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elina Svitolina meet in the quarterfinal at Toronto on Tuesday. Elina Svitolina brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Ekaterina Alexandrova brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

Elina Svitolina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Svitolina around 66%. Svitolina should have enough here, though Alexandrova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Montreal quarterfinal pits Brandon Nakashima against Luciano Darderi on hard. Brandon Nakashima comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Luciano Darderi is 7-3 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.2% versus 70.3% on first-serve points in Nakashima's favor. The edge belongs to Nakashima — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.