Who is predicted to win Duke vs NC State?

Maiden gives Duke Blue Devils a 57% chance to beat NC State Wolfpack. We post that number before kickoff and check it against the result afterwards, win or lose.

What is the projected score for Duke vs NC State?

We project Duke Blue Devils 29, NC State Wolfpack 26. The score and spread are there for context; we're only judged on the chance to win.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Duke vs NC State win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with NC State Wolfpack hosting Duke Blue Devils. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack — prediction and win probability

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Duke Blue Devils, 57% to win. We project them by 2.8.

The numbers

Our pick	Duke Blue Devils
Chance they win	57%
Our projected spread (Duke Blue Devils)	-2.8
Our projected score (Duke Blue Devils first)	29-26
Projected total	54.9
Our picks at 55% to 60% confidence	32-16 (67%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Duke Blue Devils)	-4.5
Total	51.5

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Still to come today

Prediction published Nov 1, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Duke vs NC State?: Maiden gives Duke Blue Devils a 57% chance to beat NC State Wolfpack. We post that number before kickoff and check it against the result afterwards, win or lose.
What is the projected score for Duke vs NC State?: We project Duke Blue Devils 29, NC State Wolfpack 26. The score and spread are there for context; we're only judged on the chance to win.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 55% to 60% have won 32 of 48 college football games, 67%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Duke vs NC State win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with NC State Wolfpack hosting Duke Blue Devils. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.