What is the projected total for Missouri State vs Florida International?

Our model projects 51.1 combined points. Maiden grades the win probability, not the total, and that win probability opens to everyone the moment this game is played.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Missouri State vs Florida International win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida International Panthers hosting Missouri State Bears. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

Missouri State Bears at Florida International Panthers — prediction and win probability

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The numbers

Projected total	51.1
Our picks at 65% to 70% confidence	35-16 (69%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

The projected total is our model’s number, not a market’s. We grade the win probability, and it opens to everyone the moment this game is played.

Market average

Spread (Florida International Panthers)	-4.5
Total	50

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Still to come today

Prediction published Nov 1, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

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Frequently asked questions

What is the projected total for Missouri State vs Florida International?: Our model projects 51.1 combined points. Maiden grades the win probability, not the total, and that win probability opens to everyone the moment this game is played.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 65% to 70% have won 35 of 51 college football games, 69%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Missouri State vs Florida International win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Florida International Panthers hosting Missouri State Bears. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.