Who is predicted to win Maryland vs Purdue?

Maiden gives Purdue Boilermakers a 63% chance to beat Maryland Terrapins. We post that number before kickoff and check it against the result afterwards, win or lose.

What is the projected score for Maryland vs Purdue?

We project Purdue Boilermakers 32, Maryland Terrapins 27. The score and spread are there for context; we're only judged on the chance to win.

How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?

Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.

Where does the Maryland vs Purdue win probability come from?

We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Purdue Boilermakers hosting Maryland Terrapins. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.

Is this betting advice?

No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers — prediction and win probability

Share pick

Purdue Boilermakers, 63% to win. We project them by 5.6.

The numbers

Our pick	Purdue Boilermakers
Chance they win	63%
Our projected spread (Purdue Boilermakers)	-5.6
Our projected score (Purdue Boilermakers first)	32-27
Projected total	58.9
Our picks at 60% to 65% confidence	41-21 (66%)

That is our real record at this confidence level. Every level, graded in public.

We’re judged on the chance to win. The projected spread, score and total come from the same numbers, and they beat a simple baseline in every season we tested. A spread reads as it does anywhere else: -11 means we project that side to win by eleven. These are our numbers, not the market’s. Where we have the market's numbers, they're shown separately and labeled.

Market average

Spread (Purdue Boilermakers)	-6.5
Total	57

The market’s numbers, not ours: an average across the books our data provider covers, for context beside the projections above. We don’t guarantee its accuracy or timeliness, and nothing here is a price you can transact at.

Still to come today

Prediction published Nov 1, 2026, 3:03 PM UTC

Tomorrow's free picks, by email

One email each morning with the day's free picks, before the games start. Our free beginner's guide comes with it. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Maryland vs Purdue?: Maiden gives Purdue Boilermakers a 63% chance to beat Maryland Terrapins. We post that number before kickoff and check it against the result afterwards, win or lose.
What is the projected score for Maryland vs Purdue?: We project Purdue Boilermakers 32, Maryland Terrapins 27. The score and spread are there for context; we're only judged on the chance to win.
How often is Maiden right at this confidence level?: Picks we've made between 60% to 65% have won 41 of 62 college football games, 66%. That's why we post a percentage and not just a name: you can check whether a number in that range really meant what it said. Every level, in every sport, is on our track record page.
Where does the Maryland vs Purdue win probability come from?: We rate every team on eleven seasons of college football results, mix in team efficiency ratings and recruiting talent, and adjust for home field, with Purdue Boilermakers hosting Maryland Terrapins. We tested the method on more than six thousand games it had not seen. No sportsbook line goes into our number.
Is this betting advice?: No. Maiden publishes a win probability on every pick and grades every one of them in public, so there is a record to check rather than a claim to take on trust. We never tell anyone what to back or how much, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Maiden publishes predictions, not bets.