A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Marin Cilic in the Hertogenbosch match. Daniil Medvedev comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Marin Cilic is 5-5 across recent matches.
Daniil Medvedev has had the better of this rivalry, winning 3 of 4 against Marin Cilic. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Medvedev — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Medvedev is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling; Cilic is running on fumes after a brutal stretch of scheduling. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Medvedev is exactly that — a lean.