Wimbledon predictions, July 5, 2026: Sinner vs. Mochizuki, Krejcikova vs. Muchova

Jannik Sinner and Shintaro Mochizuki meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday. Jannik Sinner is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Shintaro Mochizuki brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The serve is where this match separates: Sinner has been winning 72.3% of first-serve points to Mochizuki's 68.5%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. If Sinner plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Barbora Krejcikova goes up against Karolina Muchova in the Wimbledon round of 16. Karolina Muchova has won 8 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Barbora Krejcikova has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Muchova should have enough here, though Krejcikova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Hubert Hurkacz goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon round of 16. Hubert Hurkacz brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff is rolling — 5 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The rivalry is dead level: 2-2 across 4 matches. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Struff — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. The edge belongs to Hurkacz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday. Naomi Osaka is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 4-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

The serve is where this match separates: Osaka has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Sabalenka's 67.2%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Osaka.

Sunday's Wimbledon round of 16 pits Novak Djokovic against Roman Safiullin on grass. Novak Djokovic is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Roman Safiullin is rolling — 5 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Novak Djokovic leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Novak Djokovic is clearly higher-rated on grass — our number puts Djokovic around 60%. Little separates them; Djokovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Iva Jovic and Jessica Pegula meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday. Jessica Pegula is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Iva Jovic brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

The ledger favors Jessica Pegula, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Iva Jovic.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Pegula fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Sunday's Wimbledon round of 16 pits Belinda Bencic against Coco Gauff on grass. Belinda Bencic brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Coco Gauff is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Coco Gauff, 5-2 across their 7 meetings with Belinda Bencic.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bencic is exactly that — a lean.