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Wimbledon predictions, July 6, 2026: Zverev vs. Lehecka, Eala vs. Paolini

By The Maiden Desk · July 6, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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7 matches are on Monday's card at Wimbledon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexander Zverev against Jiri Lehecka in the round of 16. Our calls: Zverev over Lehecka, Eala over Paolini, Bouzkova over Mertens, Fritz over Bublik, Kostyuk over Krueger, Minaur over Cobolli, Keys over Noskova. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 5-1

July 5, 2026 card →
  • ✓ Pick rightSinner at 76% won 6-3 7-6 6-3 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightMuchova at 65% won 7-5 5-7 6-3
  • ✓ Pick rightOsaka at 63% won 6-2 7-6 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightDjokovic at 60% won 7-6 6-3 3-6 6-3 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightPegula at 59% won 4-6 6-3 6-1
  • ✗ Pick wrongBencic at 53% lost 6-4 3-6 4-6

3 exact set-score calls · Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Alexander Zverev vs. Jiri Lehecka

Tuesday's Wimbledon round of 16 pits Alexander Zverev against Jiri Lehecka on grass. Alexander Zverev brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Jiri Lehecka is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. The edge belongs to Zverev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Zverev

Win probability: 65% Zverev · Most likely score: 3-0 (32%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Alexander Zverev was our 65% pick, and won 6-4 7-5 3-6 7-6.

Alexandra Eala vs. Jasmine Paolini

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Alexandra Eala goes up against Jasmine Paolini in the Wimbledon round of 16. Alexandra Eala brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Jasmine Paolini brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Alexandra Eala has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Jasmine Paolini.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule; Paolini comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Eala fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Eala

Win probability: 54% Eala · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Alexandra Eala at 54% lost to Jasmine Paolini (6-4 4-6 6-3). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Elise Mertens vs. Marie Bouzkova

Elise Mertens and Marie Bouzkova meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday. Marie Bouzkova brings a 9-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Elise Mertens is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Elise Mertens, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Marie Bouzkova.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Mertens comes in off a compressed schedule; Bouzkova comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Bouzkova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Bouzkova

Win probability: 57% Bouzkova · Most likely score: 2-0 (37%)

✗ Pick wrongGraded: incorrect. We had Marie Bouzkova at 57%, but Elise Mertens won 6-4 6-4. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz

Alexander Bublik and Taylor Fritz meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday. Taylor Fritz is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Alexander Bublik is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 4-4. On grass specifically it reads 2-0 Fritz — worth more than the overall number this week.

Taylor Fritz simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fritz fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Fritz

Win probability: 54% Fritz · Most likely score: 3-0 (22%) · Could go long: 25% chance of a full five sets

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Taylor Fritz was our 54% pick, and won 7-6 6-4 6-4.

Ashlyn Krueger vs. Marta Kostyuk

Ashlyn Krueger and Marta Kostyuk meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday. Marta Kostyuk has won 4 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Ashlyn Krueger brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

Ashlyn Krueger has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Marta Kostyuk.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Krueger comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kostyuk is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Kostyuk

Win probability: 51% Kostyuk · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 51% on Marta Kostyuk, who won 6-4 6-4.

Alex De Minaur vs. Flavio Cobolli

Alex De Minaur and Flavio Cobolli meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday. Alex De Minaur is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Flavio Cobolli brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Minaur comes in off a compressed schedule; Cobolli comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Minaur is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Minaur

Win probability: 54% Minaur · Most likely score: 3-1 (20%) · Could go long: 29% chance of a full five sets

✗ Pick wrongGraded: incorrect. We had Alex De Minaur at 54%, but Flavio Cobolli won 7-5 7-6 6-3. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Linda Noskova vs. Madison Keys

Linda Noskova and Madison Keys meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Monday. Madison Keys is rolling — 8 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Linda Noskova is rolling — 4 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Keys is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Keys

Win probability: 55% Keys · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Madison Keys at 55% lost to Linda Noskova (6-4 7-6). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Updated Jul 5, 2026, 11:18 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.