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Wimbledon predictions, July 7, 2026: Struff vs. Sinner, Gauff vs. Pegula

By The Maiden Desk · July 7, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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4 matches are on Tuesday's card at Wimbledon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Jan Lennard Struff against Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Sinner over Struff, Pegula over Gauff, Osaka over Muchova, Zverev over Lehecka. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Yesterday’s results: 3-4

July 6, 2026 card →
  • ✓ Pick rightZverev at 65% won 6-4 7-5 3-6 7-6
  • ✓ Pick rightFritz at 54% won 7-6 6-4 6-4 — exact score called
  • ✓ Pick rightKostyuk at 51% won 6-4 6-4 — exact score called
  • ✗ Pick wrongEala at 54% lost 4-6 6-4 3-6
  • ✗ Pick wrongBouzkova at 57% lost 4-6 4-6
  • ✗ Pick wrongMinaur at 54% lost 5-7 6-7 3-6
  • ✗ Pick wrongKeys at 55% lost 4-6 6-7

2 exact set-score calls · Every pick graded in public — the full ledger lives on the track record.

Jan Lennard Struff vs. Jannik Sinner

Tuesday's Wimbledon quarterfinal pits Jan Lennard Struff against Jannik Sinner on grass. Jannik Sinner brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff is rolling — 5 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The ledger favors Jannik Sinner, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Jan Lennard Struff. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Sinner — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jannik Sinner simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Sinner — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Sinner

Win probability: 67% Sinner · Most likely score: 3-0 (46%)

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 67% on Jannik Sinner, who won 7-5 7-6 6-3.

Coco Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula

Tuesday's Wimbledon quarterfinal pits Coco Gauff against Jessica Pegula on grass. Jessica Pegula has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Coco Gauff is rolling — 6 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Jessica Pegula has had the better of this rivalry, winning 5 of 8 against Coco Gauff. On grass they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on grass, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Pegula gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Pegula

Win probability: 51% Pegula · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Jessica Pegula at 51% lost to Coco Gauff (4-6 6-3 6-3). It counts against our record like every other miss.

Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka

Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka meet in the quarterfinal at Wimbledon on Tuesday. Naomi Osaka brings a 10-match winning streak into this one, 10-0 across the last ten. Karolina Muchova is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play.

Naomi Osaka has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 6 against Karolina Muchova.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 64.4% on first-serve points in Osaka's favor. Little separates them; Osaka gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Pick: Osaka

Win probability: 53% Osaka · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Naomi Osaka; Karolina Muchova won 7-6 6-4.

Alexander Zverev vs. Jiri Lehecka

Tuesday's Wimbledon round of 16 pits Alexander Zverev against Jiri Lehecka on grass. Alexander Zverev brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Jiri Lehecka is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. The edge belongs to Zverev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Zverev

Win probability: 65% Zverev · Most likely score: 3-0 (32%)

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Alexander Zverev was our 65% pick, and won 6-4 7-5 3-6 7-6.

Updated Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.