One match is on Thursday's card at Contrexeville, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Francesca Jones against Leolia Jeanjean in the round of 16. Our calls: Jeanjean over Jones. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.
The boldest call on the card: Jeanjean over Jones — the ratings disagree with us there.
Francesca Jones and Leolia Jeanjean meet in the round of 16 at Contrexeville on Thursday. Leolia Jeanjean has won 2 of the last 10. Francesca Jones is 3-7 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jeanjean fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: JeanjeanUpset call
Upset call — the ratings lean Jones; our numbers say Jeanjean.
Win probability: 54% Jeanjean · Most likely score: 2-0 (34%)