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Bogota Predictions & Picks — July 10, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 10, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Friday's card at Bogota, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Juan Pablo Varillas against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Almeida over Varillas.

Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; Juan Pablo Varillas won 6-3 7-6(4).

Pick: Almeida

Win probability: 53% Almeida · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida meet in the quarterfinal at Bogota on Friday. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rolling — 7 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Juan Pablo Varillas comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Almeida is exactly that — a lean.

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Updated Jul 10, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.