Bogota Predictions & Picks — July 10, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 10, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Friday's card at Bogota, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Juan Pablo Varillas against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Almeida over Varillas. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Juan Pablo Varillas and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida meet in the quarterfinal at Bogota on Friday. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is rolling — 7 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Juan Pablo Varillas comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Almeida around 53%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Almeida is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Almeida

Win probability: 53% Almeida · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; Juan Pablo Varillas won 6-3 7-6(4).