Wimbledon predictions, July 10, 2026: Zverev vs. Fery, Sinner vs. Djokovic

By The Maiden Desk · July 10, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Friday's card at Wimbledon, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexander Zverev against Arthur Fery in the semifinal. Our calls: Zverev over Fery, Sinner over Djokovic. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Sinner over Djokovic — the ratings disagree with us there.

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Fery

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alexander Zverev goes up against Arthur Fery in the Wimbledon semifinal. Alexander Zverev has won 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Arthur Fery is rolling — 6 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.6% versus 68.9% on first-serve points in Zverev's favor. The edge belongs to Zverev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Pick: Zverev

Win probability: 66% Zverev · Most likely score: 3-0 (32%)

Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Jannik Sinner goes up against Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon semifinal. Jannik Sinner brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Novak Djokovic has won 7 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Jannik Sinner has had the better of this rivalry, winning 7 of 13 against Novak Djokovic. On grass they're dead even at 2-2 — worth more than the overall number this week.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sinner is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: SinnerUpset call

Upset call — the ratings lean Djokovic; our numbers say Sinner.

Win probability: 56% Sinner · Most likely score: 3-0 (30%)