Bastad Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Dalibor Svrcina against Grigor Dimitrov on clay. Grigor Dimitrov is 6-4 across recent matches. Dalibor Svrcina is 5-5 across recent matches.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.6% versus 62% on first-serve points in Dimitrov's favor. The edge belongs to Dimitrov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jan Choinski goes up against Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Bastad round of 32. Jan Choinski is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Nikoloz Basilashvili is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Jan Choinski is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Choinski around 57%. Little separates them; Choinski gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Sebastian Ofner goes up against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Bastad round of 32. Thiago Agustin Tirante limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Sebastian Ofner comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Thiago Agustin Tirante simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tirante is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Daniel Altmaier against Hugo Gaston on clay. Daniel Altmaier is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Hugo Gaston is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

Nothing separates them historically — the head-to-head sits at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Gaston — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Altmaier has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Altmaier gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Andrea Pellegrino against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer on clay. Andrea Pellegrino comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Andrea Pellegrino is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Pellegrino around 54%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Pellegrino is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Vallejo goes up against Miguel Damas in the Bastad round of 32. Daniel Vallejo is 5-5 across recent matches. Miguel Damas has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Vallejo has been winning 66.5% of first-serve points to Damas's 61.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Vallejo should have enough here, though Damas has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Bastad round of 32 pits Facundo Diaz Acosta against Lautaro Midon on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta has won 8 of the last 10. Lautaro Midon comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Hold strength tells the story — 67.4% versus 64.1% on first-serve points in Acosta's favor. Acosta should have enough here, though Midon has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Martin Krumich and Stefano Travaglia meet in the round of 32 at Bastad on Tuesday. Stefano Travaglia limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Martin Krumich has won 4 of the last 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Travaglia fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Botic Van De Zandschulp goes up against Taro Daniel in the Bastad round of 32. Botic Van De Zandschulp has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Taro Daniel comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Zandschulp's 72.3% behind the first serve (against 66.7% for Daniel) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Zandschulp gets the nod on the finest of margins.