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Iasi Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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6 matches are on Tuesday's card at Iasi, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anhelina Kalinina against Paula Badosa in the round of 32. Our calls: Badosa over Kalinina, Kawa over Waltert, Arango over Zidansek, Ruse over Quevedo, Cristian over Jeanjean, Sherif over Galfi. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

The boldest call on the card: Kawa over Waltert — the market disagrees with us there.

Jaqueline Cristian vs. Leolia Jeanjean

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jaqueline Cristian goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the Iasi round of 32. Jaqueline Cristian is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cristian is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Cristian

Win probability: 58% Cristian · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

Dalma Galfi vs. Mayar Sherif

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Dalma Galfi goes up against Mayar Sherif in the Iasi round of 32. Mayar Sherif has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Dalma Galfi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Mayar Sherif, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Dalma Galfi. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Sherif — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sherif fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 56% Sherif · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

Anhelina Kalinina vs. Paula Badosa

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Anhelina Kalinina against Paula Badosa on clay. Paula Badosa has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Anhelina Kalinina limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Badosa's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 60.8% for Kalinina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 53% Badosa · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Emiliana Arango vs. Tamara Zidansek

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Emiliana Arango goes up against Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi round of 32. Emiliana Arango has won 4 of the last 10. Tamara Zidansek is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Arango is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Arango

Win probability: 52% Arango · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs. Kaitlin Quevedo

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Kaitlin Quevedo on clay. Elena Gabriela Ruse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Kaitlin Quevedo is 5-5 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Ruse has been winning 63.3% of first-serve points to Quevedo's 59.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruse is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: Ruse

Win probability: 52% Ruse · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Katarzyna Kawa vs. Simona Waltert

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Katarzyna Kawa goes up against Simona Waltert in the Iasi round of 32. Katarzyna Kawa limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Simona Waltert has won 5 of the last 10.

Simona Waltert leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Waltert — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kawa is exactly that — a lean.

Pick: KawaUpset call

Upset call — the market makes Waltert the favorite; our numbers say Kawa.

Win probability: 51% Kawa · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 43% chance of a full three sets

Updated Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.