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Iasi Predictions & Picks — July 14, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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8 matches are on Tuesday's card at Iasi, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anhelina Kalinina against Paula Badosa in the round of 32. Our calls: Badosa over Kalinina, Kawa over Waltert, Udvardy over Gormaz, Arango over Zidansek, Sherif over Galfi, Cristian over Jeanjean, and 2 more.

The boldest call on the card: Uchijima over Avanesyan — the market disagrees with us there.

Jaqueline Cristian vs. Leolia Jeanjean

Pick: Cristian

Win probability: 58% Cristian · Most likely score: 2-0 (38%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jaqueline Cristian goes up against Leolia Jeanjean in the Iasi round of 32. Jaqueline Cristian is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Leolia Jeanjean comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cristian is exactly that — a lean.

Dalma Galfi vs. Mayar Sherif

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Mayar Sherif at 56% before the match, and Mayar Sherif won 6-2 6-0.

Pick: Sherif

Win probability: 56% Sherif · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Dalma Galfi goes up against Mayar Sherif in the Iasi round of 32. Mayar Sherif has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Dalma Galfi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (2 of the last 10).

The ledger favors Mayar Sherif, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Dalma Galfi. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Sherif — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sherif fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Anhelina Kalinina vs. Paula Badosa

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 53% pick, and won 6-3 6-1.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 53% Badosa · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Anhelina Kalinina against Paula Badosa on clay. Paula Badosa has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Anhelina Kalinina limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Badosa's 65.2% behind the first serve (against 60.8% for Kalinina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Badosa is exactly that — a lean.

Emiliana Arango vs. Tamara Zidansek

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Emiliana Arango at 52%, but Tamara Zidansek won 5-7 6-2 6-3.

Pick: Arango

Win probability: 52% Arango · Most likely score: 2-0 (30%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Emiliana Arango goes up against Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi round of 32. Emiliana Arango has won 4 of the last 10. Tamara Zidansek is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Arango is exactly that — a lean.

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs. Kaitlin Quevedo

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Elena Gabriela Ruse at 52%, but Kaitlin Quevedo won 6-3 6-1.

Pick: Ruse

Win probability: 52% Ruse · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

Tuesday's Iasi round of 32 pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Kaitlin Quevedo on clay. Elena Gabriela Ruse has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten. Kaitlin Quevedo is 5-5 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

The serve is where this match separates: Ruse has been winning 63.3% of first-serve points to Quevedo's 59.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ruse is exactly that — a lean.

Katarzyna Kawa vs. Simona Waltert

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Katarzyna Kawa was our 51% pick, and won 6-1 6-4.

Pick: KawaUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Waltert the favorite; our numbers say Kawa.

Win probability: 51% Kawa · Most likely score: 2-0 (29%) · Could go long: 43% chance of a full three sets

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Katarzyna Kawa goes up against Simona Waltert in the Iasi round of 32. Katarzyna Kawa limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Simona Waltert has won 5 of the last 10.

Simona Waltert leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Waltert — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kawa is exactly that — a lean.

Leyre Romero Gormaz vs. Panna Udvardy

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Panna Udvardy was our 56% pick, and won 6-3 4-6 6-3.

Pick: Udvardy

Win probability: 56% Udvardy · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Leyre Romero Gormaz goes up against Panna Udvardy in the Iasi round of 32. Panna Udvardy has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Leyre Romero Gormaz is 7-3 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Leyre Romero Gormaz, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Panna Udvardy.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Udvardy gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Elina Avanesyan vs. Moyuka Uchijima

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Moyuka Uchijima at 54%, but Elina Avanesyan won 6-2 6-4.

Pick: UchijimaUpset call

Upset call: the market makes Avanesyan the favorite; our numbers say Uchijima.

Win probability: 54% Uchijima · Most likely score: 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Elina Avanesyan goes up against Moyuka Uchijima in the Iasi round of 32. Moyuka Uchijima comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Elina Avanesyan is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Elina Avanesyan leads the head-to-head 2-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Uchijima's 63.4% behind the first serve (against 57.6% for Avanesyan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Uchijima fractionally more likely to land the big points.

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Updated Jul 13, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.