2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Pozoblanco, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Ilya Ivashka against Maximus Jones in the round of 32. Our calls: Ivashka over Jones, Zhou over Kozlov.
Pick: Ivashka
Win probability: 57% Ivashka · Most likely score: 2-0 (35%)
Ilya Ivashka and Maximus Jones meet in the round of 32 at Pozoblanco on Tuesday. Ilya Ivashka is 6-4 across recent matches. Maximus Jones is 4-6 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Ilya Ivashka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Ivashka around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ivashka fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Zhou
Win probability: 57% Zhou · Most likely score: 2-0 (32%)
Tuesday's Pozoblanco round of 32 pits Stefan Kozlov against Yi Zhou on hard. Yi Zhou has won 4 of the last 10. Stefan Kozlov has won 3 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Hold strength tells the story — 72.1% versus 65.3% on first-serve points in Zhou's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Zhou fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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