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Winnipeg Predictions & Picks — July 25, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · July 25, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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One match is on Saturday's card at Winnipeg, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Liam Draxl against Shintaro Mochizuki in the semifinal. Our calls: Draxl over Mochizuki. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Liam Draxl vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Liam Draxl goes up against Shintaro Mochizuki in the Winnipeg semifinal. Liam Draxl has won 7 of the last 10. Shintaro Mochizuki comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Liam Draxl simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Draxl comes in off a compressed schedule; Mochizuki comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Draxl.

Pick: Draxl

Win probability: 71% Draxl · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (42%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Liam Draxl at 71% before the match, and Liam Draxl won 6-0 6-3.

Updated Jul 25, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.