6 matches are on Saturday's card across 4 events, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alexander Blockx against Luciano Darderi in the semifinal. Our calls: Blockx over Darderi, Halys over Bublik, Snigur over Valentova, Assche over Gaston, Sherif over Korpatsch, Bondar over Avanesyan.
The boldest call on the card: Snigur over Valentova — the market disagrees with us there.
July 24, 2026 results: 10-11 → how our picks graded, match by match.
Pick: BlockxUpset call
Upset call: the market favors Darderi; our numbers say Blockx.
Win probability: 56% Blockx · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Luciano Darderi in the Estoril semifinal. Alexander Blockx comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Luciano Darderi is 6-4 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Blockx's 76.2% behind the first serve (against 70.9% for Darderi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Blockx gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: HalysUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Bublik the favorite; our numbers say Halys.
Win probability: 55% Halys · Sets: 3 (44%) · most likely score 2-0 (32%)
Saturday brings the Kitzbuhel final: Alexander Bublik against Quentin Halys. Quentin Halys has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Alexander Bublik has won 6 of the last 10.
Quentin Halys leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Halys — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Bublik comes in off a compressed schedule; Halys comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Halys is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: SnigurUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Valentova the favorite; our numbers say Snigur.
Win probability: 62% Snigur · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)
Saturday's Livesport Prague Open semifinal pits Daria Snigur against Tereza Valentova on clay. Daria Snigur is 6-4 across recent matches. Tereza Valentova is 5-5 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Valentova comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Snigur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Assche
Win probability: 61% Assche · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (36%)
Saturday's Estoril semifinal pits Hugo Gaston against Luca Van Assche on clay. Luca Van Assche is 8-2 across recent matches. Hugo Gaston is 5-5 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Luca Van Assche, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Hugo Gaston. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Assche — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Assche should have enough here, though Gaston has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Sherif
Win probability: 64% Sherif · Sets: 2 (62%) · most likely score 2-0 (41%)
Saturday's Hamburg semifinal pits Mayar Sherif against Tamara Korpatsch on clay. Mayar Sherif has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall. Tamara Korpatsch has won 5 of the last 10.
Tamara Korpatsch has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Mayar Sherif. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Korpatsch — worth more than the overall number this week.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sherif.
Pick: Bondar
Win probability: 74% Bondar · Sets: 2 (63%) · most likely score 2-0 (49%)
Saturday's Hamburg semifinal pits Anna Bondar against Elina Avanesyan on clay. Anna Bondar has won 5 of the last 10. Elina Avanesyan has won 6 of the last 10.
They have split their 2 previous meetings evenly at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Avanesyan — worth more than the overall number this week.
Bondar's 64.5% behind the first serve (against 57.4% for Avanesyan) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Bondar comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Bondar win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
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