Washington Predictions & Picks — July 27, 2026

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Lorenzo Musetti goes up against Matteo Arnaldi in the Washington round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti is 6-4 across recent matches. Matteo Arnaldi comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Musetti — worth more than the overall number this week.

Lorenzo Musetti simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Musetti — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Taylor Fritz and Zizou Bergs meet in the round of 32 at Washington on Monday. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Zizou Bergs has won 6 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Taylor Fritz, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Zizou Bergs.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Fritz.

Monday's Washington round of 32 pits Ben Shelton against Ethan Quinn on hard. Ben Shelton is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (7 of the last 10). Ethan Quinn comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Ben Shelton, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Ethan Quinn.

Ben Shelton is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shelton around 64%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Shelton.

Monday's Washington round of 32 pits Alejandro Tabilo against Tallon Griekspoor on hard. Tallon Griekspoor limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Alejandro Tabilo limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Griekspoor fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Juncheng Shang goes up against Kei Nishikori in the Washington round of 32. Kei Nishikori has won 5 of the last 10. Juncheng Shang is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Kei Nishikori leads the head-to-head 2-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 2-1 Nishikori — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Nishikori is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Aleksandar Vukic goes up against Zachary Svajda in the Washington round of 32. Zachary Svajda has won 6 of the last 10. Aleksandar Vukic is rolling — 5 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Svajda gets the nod on the finest of margins.