One match is on Sunday's card at Los Cabos, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Arthur Gea against Denis Shapovalov in the final. Our calls: Shapovalov over Gea.
Pick: Shapovalov
Win probability: 50% Shapovalov · Sets: 3 (45%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)
Sunday brings the Los Cabos final: Arthur Gea against Denis Shapovalov. Denis Shapovalov brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Arthur Gea has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 67.2% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. Little separates them; Shapovalov gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.