Tennis predictions, August 2, 2026: Gea vs. Shapovalov, Tabilo vs. Jodar

Sunday brings the Los Cabos final: Arthur Gea against Denis Shapovalov. Denis Shapovalov brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Arthur Gea has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 67.2% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. Little separates them; Shapovalov gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Washington semifinal. Rafael Jodar brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Rafael Jodar is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jodar around 54%. Tabilo comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Jaume Munar goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Montreal first round. Jaume Munar limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Munar should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Kimberly Birrell against Viktorija Golubic on hard. Kimberly Birrell comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Viktorija Golubic is 6-4 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Birrell has been winning 64.8% of first-serve points to Golubic's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Birrell fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Cristina Bucsa against Moyuka Uchijima on hard. Cristina Bucsa has dropped 6 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Moyuka Uchijima comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Cristina Bucsa simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Bucsa should have enough here, though Uchijima has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Kamilla Rakhimova and Venus Williams meet in the first round at Toronto on Sunday. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 4 of the last 10. Venus Williams limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Rakhimova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Daniel Vallejo against Juncheng Shang on hard. Juncheng Shang limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Daniel Vallejo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.7% versus 64.8% on first-serve points in Shang's favor. If Shang plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Camila Osorio against Lucrezia Stefanini on hard. Camila Osorio comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Lucrezia Stefanini comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Osorio's 61.6% behind the first serve (against 55.2% for Stefanini) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Anything other than a Osorio win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.