Tennis predictions, August 2, 2026: Eala vs. Pegula, Gea vs. Shapovalov

The Washington title is on the line on Sunday, when Alexandra Eala meets Jessica Pegula. Jessica Pegula brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Alexandra Eala is rolling — 4 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

The serve is where this match separates: Pegula has been winning 63.7% of first-serve points to Eala's 60.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Eala comes in off a compressed schedule; Pegula comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Pegula.

Sunday brings the Los Cabos final: Arthur Gea against Denis Shapovalov. Denis Shapovalov brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Arthur Gea has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.7% versus 67.2% on first-serve points in Shapovalov's favor. Little separates them; Shapovalov gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Washington semifinal. Rafael Jodar brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Rafael Jodar is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jodar around 54%. Tabilo comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Benjamin Bonzi and Yannick Hanfmann meet in the first round at Montreal on Sunday. Yannick Hanfmann has won 6 of the last 10. Benjamin Bonzi has won 6 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Hanfmann gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Luca Van Assche and Titouan Droguet meet in the first round at Montreal on Sunday. Luca Van Assche brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Titouan Droguet has won 7 of the last 10.

Luca Van Assche has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Titouan Droguet. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Assche — worth more than the overall number this week.

Luca Van Assche is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Assche around 51%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Assche fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Gabriel Diallo against Kyrian Jacquet on hard. Kyrian Jacquet comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Gabriel Diallo limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jacquet is exactly that — a lean.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Talia Gibson meet in the first round at Toronto on Sunday. Elisabetta Cocciaretto comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Talia Gibson is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Cocciaretto gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Michael Zheng against Miomir Kecmanovic on hard. Miomir Kecmanovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Michael Zheng has won 6 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Kecmanovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Marton Fucsovics in the Montreal first round. Marton Fucsovics is 3-7 across recent matches. Corentin Moutet limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Fucsovics has been winning 70.7% of first-serve points to Moutet's 65.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Fucsovics gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Aleksandar Kovacevic against Nuno Borges on hard. Nuno Borges has won 6 of the last 10. Aleksandar Kovacevic limps in on a 6-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Borges gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Mariano Navone and Matteo Berrettini meet in the first round at Montreal on Sunday. Matteo Berrettini has won 7 of the last 10. Mariano Navone has won 5 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Berrettini has been winning 76.1% of first-serve points to Navone's 62.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Navone needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Jaume Munar goes up against Rinky Hijikata in the Montreal first round. Jaume Munar limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Rinky Hijikata is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Jaume Munar simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Munar should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Bianca Andreescu against Nikola Bartunkova on hard. Bianca Andreescu is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Nikola Bartunkova has won 5 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Andreescu is exactly that — a lean.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Kimberly Birrell against Viktorija Golubic on hard. Kimberly Birrell comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Viktorija Golubic is 6-4 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Birrell has been winning 64.8% of first-serve points to Golubic's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Birrell fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Christopher Oconnell against James Duckworth on hard. James Duckworth is 5-5 across recent matches. Christopher Oconnell brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Little separates them; Duckworth gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Aleksandar Vukic goes up against Daniel Altmaier in the Montreal first round. Aleksandar Vukic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Daniel Altmaier comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Aleksandar Vukic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Vukic around 57%. Little separates them; Vukic gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Marin Cilic and Sho Shimabukuro meet in the first round at Montreal on Sunday. Marin Cilic limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Sho Shimabukuro limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

Cilic's 76.4% behind the first serve (against 70.6% for Shimabukuro) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cilic.

Sunday's Toronto first round pits Elena Gabriela Ruse against Peyton Stearns on hard. Peyton Stearns is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Elena Gabriela Ruse has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Stearns — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Kamilla Rakhimova and Venus Williams meet in the first round at Toronto on Sunday. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 4 of the last 10. Venus Williams limps in on a 10-match losing skid, just 0 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Rakhimova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Martin Landaluce against Nicolas Mejia on hard. Martin Landaluce limps in on a 5-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Nicolas Mejia brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Landaluce should have enough here, though Mejia has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Sunday's Montreal first round pits Daniel Vallejo against Juncheng Shang on hard. Juncheng Shang limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Daniel Vallejo has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.7% versus 64.8% on first-serve points in Shang's favor. If Shang plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.