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Washington Predictions & Picks — August 2, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 2, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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2 matches are on Sunday's card at Washington, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Rafael Jodar against Taylor Fritz in the final. Our calls: Fritz over Jodar, Jodar over Tabilo. As always, every pick below is graded after the fact and stays up, right or wrong.

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Alejandro Tabilo vs. Rafael Jodar

A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Alejandro Tabilo goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Washington semifinal. Rafael Jodar brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Alejandro Tabilo comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Rafael Jodar is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jodar around 54%. Tabilo comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Pick: Jodar

Win probability: 54% Jodar · Sets: 3 (42%) · most likely score 2-0 (31%)

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Rafael Jodar at 54% before the match, and Rafael Jodar won 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4.

Rafael Jodar vs. Taylor Fritz

The Washington title is on the line on Sunday, when Rafael Jodar meets Taylor Fritz. Taylor Fritz is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Rafael Jodar has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Fritz's 74.6% behind the first serve (against 69.2% for Jodar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Jodar arrives with very little recovery time; Fritz comes in off a compressed schedule. Fritz should have enough here, though Jodar has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Pick: Fritz

Win probability: 60% Fritz · Sets: 3 (47%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

Updated Aug 1, 2026, 7:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.