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Hagen Predictions & Picks — August 4, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 4, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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9 matches are on Tuesday's card at Hagen, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Thiago Monteiro against Tom Gentzsch in the round of 32. Our calls: Monteiro over Gentzsch, Gomez over Squire, Molcan over Tseng, Dodig over Travaglia, Piros over Rincon, Gaubas over Houkes, and 3 more.

The boldest call on the card: Molleker over Mrva — the market disagrees with us there.

Daniel Rincon vs. Zsombor Piros

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Zsombor Piros was our 68% pick, and won 7-6 6-0.

Pick: Piros

Win probability: 68% Piros · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Rincon goes up against Zsombor Piros in the Hagen round of 32. Zsombor Piros comes in at 9 wins from the last ten. Daniel Rincon limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

Zsombor Piros is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Piros around 68%. Piros should have enough here, though Rincon has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

F. A. Gomez vs. Henri Squire

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 53% on F. A. Gomez; Henri Squire won 6-2 7-5.

Pick: Gomez

Win probability: 53% Gomez · Sets: 3 (52%) · most likely score 2-1 (28%)

F. A. Gomez and Henri Squire meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. F. A. Gomez is 5-5 across recent matches. Henri Squire comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gomez fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Alex Molcan vs. Chun Hsin Tseng

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Chun Hsin Tseng. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: Molcan

Win probability: 63% Molcan · Sets: 2 (61%) · most likely score 2-0 (39%)

Alex Molcan and Chun Hsin Tseng meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. Alex Molcan comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Chun Hsin Tseng is 6-4 across recent matches.

Alex Molcan is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Molcan around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Molcan.

Thiago Monteiro vs. Tom Gentzsch

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Thiago Monteiro at 53%, but Tom Gentzsch won 6-3 6-7 6-4.

Pick: Monteiro

Win probability: 53% Monteiro · Sets: 3 (48%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)

Tuesday's Hagen round of 32 pits Thiago Monteiro against Tom Gentzsch on clay. Thiago Monteiro comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Tom Gentzsch is 7-3 across recent matches.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Monteiro is exactly that — a lean.

Raul Brancaccio vs. Zdenek Kolar

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Zdenek Kolar at 52%, but Raul Brancaccio won 6-4 6-4.

Pick: Kolar

Win probability: 52% Kolar · Sets: 3 (49%) · most likely score 2-0 (27%)

Raul Brancaccio and Zdenek Kolar meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. Zdenek Kolar is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (3 of the last 10). Raul Brancaccio has dropped 2 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kolar fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Lorenzo Giustino vs. Vitaliy Sachko

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Vitaliy Sachko at 61%, but Lorenzo Giustino won 3-6 7-6 6-4.

Pick: Sachko

Win probability: 61% Sachko · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

Lorenzo Giustino and Vitaliy Sachko meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. Vitaliy Sachko is 5-5 across recent matches. Lorenzo Giustino limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Sachko should have enough here, though Giustino has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Matej Dodig vs. Stefano Travaglia

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Matej Dodig at 53% before the match, and Matej Dodig won 7-5 6-3.

Pick: Dodig

Win probability: 53% Dodig · Sets: 3 (55%) · most likely score 2-1 (29%)

Matej Dodig and Stefano Travaglia meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. Matej Dodig limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Stefano Travaglia has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Dodig gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Max Houkes vs. Vilius Gaubas

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Vilius Gaubas at 51% lost to Max Houkes (2-6 6-4 6-4).

Pick: Gaubas

Win probability: 51% Gaubas · Sets: 3 (52%) · most likely score 2-1 (27%)

Tuesday's Hagen round of 32 pits Max Houkes against Vilius Gaubas on clay. Vilius Gaubas has won 4 of the last 10. Max Houkes limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gaubas fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Maxim Mrva vs. Rudolf Molleker

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Rudolf Molleker; Maxim Mrva won 6-3 6-3.

Pick: MollekerUpset call

Upset call: the market favors Mrva; our numbers say Molleker.

Win probability: 56% Molleker · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-0 (28%)

Maxim Mrva and Rudolf Molleker meet in the round of 32 at Hagen on Tuesday. Rudolf Molleker limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Maxim Mrva is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

The serve is where this match separates: Molleker has been winning 69.6% of first-serve points to Mrva's 64%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Molleker gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Aug 3, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.