Montreal & Toronto predictions, August 4, 2026: Swiatek vs. Bejlek, Tiafoe vs. Cilic

Iga Swiatek and Sara Bejlek meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Iga Swiatek has won 7 of the last 10. Sara Bejlek is 5-5 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Iga Swiatek, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Sara Bejlek.

Swiatek's 64.3% behind the first serve (against 57.7% for Bejlek) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Swiatek — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Frances Tiafoe goes up against Marin Cilic in the Montreal round of 64. Frances Tiafoe has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Marin Cilic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tiafoe is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniel Merida Aguilar goes up against Liam Draxl in the Montreal first round. Liam Draxl has won 6 of the last 10. Daniel Merida Aguilar comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 68.4% versus 63.8% on first-serve points in Draxl's favor. Little separates them; Draxl gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexander Blockx goes up against Jaume Munar in the Montreal round of 64. Alexander Blockx comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jaume Munar is 5-5 across recent matches.

Blockx's 74.1% behind the first serve (against 68.4% for Munar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Blockx gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Jack Draper and Terence Atmane meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Jack Draper has won 6 of the last 10. Terence Atmane has won 2 of the last 10.

Jack Draper is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Draper around 69%. Draper should have enough here, though Atmane has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Gael Monfils goes up against Kamil Majchrzak in the Montreal first round. Gael Monfils limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Kamil Majchrzak has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Monfils is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Lorenzo Sonego goes up against Tallon Griekspoor in the Montreal first round. Tallon Griekspoor has dropped 4 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Lorenzo Sonego has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Griekspoor gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Mattia Bellucci and Sebastian Baez meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Mattia Bellucci limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Sebastian Baez has won 7 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.7% versus 64.7% on first-serve points in Bellucci's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Anna Kalinskaya and Mccartney Kessler meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Anna Kalinskaya comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Mccartney Kessler has won 4 of the last 10.

Anna Kalinskaya is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kalinskaya around 58%. Little separates them; Kalinskaya gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Martin Damm against Stefanos Tsitsipas on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas has won 6 of the last 10. Martin Damm limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Stefanos Tsitsipas simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tsitsipas is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex De Minaur goes up against James Duckworth in the Montreal round of 64. Alex De Minaur is 7-3 across recent matches. James Duckworth is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Minaur should have enough here, though Duckworth has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Adam Walton against Jenson Brooksby on hard. Adam Walton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Jenson Brooksby has won 6 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.2% versus 66.9% on first-serve points in Walton's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Walton is exactly that — a lean.

Denis Shapovalov and Zachary Svajda meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Denis Shapovalov is rolling — 4 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Zachary Svajda limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Shapovalov has been winning 74.7% of first-serve points to Svajda's 71.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shapovalov fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Camila Osorio and Ekaterina Alexandrova meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Ekaterina Alexandrova has won 4 of the last 10. Camila Osorio comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The ledger favors Camila Osorio, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Ekaterina Alexandrova. On hard specifically it reads 1-0 Osorio — worth more than the overall number this week.

Alexandrova's 66.8% behind the first serve (against 61.6% for Osorio) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Alexandrova fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Botic Van De Zandschulp against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on hard. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Perricard has been winning 78.4% of first-serve points to Zandschulp's 72%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Perricard gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Marton Fucsovics in the Montreal first round. Marton Fucsovics is 3-7 across recent matches. Corentin Moutet limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 1 wins in 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Fucsovics has been winning 70.7% of first-serve points to Moutet's 65.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Fucsovics gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Hamad Medjedovic goes up against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Montreal first round. Hamad Medjedovic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Medjedovic's 72.3% behind the first serve (against 67.3% for Cerundolo) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Medjedovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Hubert Hurkacz against Marcos Giron on hard. Hubert Hurkacz has won 3 in a row and 5 of the last 10 overall. Marcos Giron is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Hold strength tells the story — 75.8% versus 70.5% on first-serve points in Hurkacz's favor. The edge belongs to Hurkacz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Andrey Rublev against Juncheng Shang on hard. Andrey Rublev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Juncheng Shang has won 5 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Rublev has been winning 74.1% of first-serve points to Shang's 69.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Rublev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Antonia Ruzic goes up against Madison Keys in the Toronto round of 64. Madison Keys has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Antonia Ruzic is 4-6 across recent matches.

The ledger favors Madison Keys, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Antonia Ruzic.

Hold strength tells the story — 65.5% versus 61.3% on first-serve points in Keys's favor. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Keys.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Adrian Mannarino goes up against Jacob Fearnley in the Montreal first round. Adrian Mannarino has won 4 of the last 10. Jacob Fearnley has won 9 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mannarino is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alex Michelsen goes up against Jan Lennard Struff in the Montreal first round. Alex Michelsen has won 8 of the last 10. Jan Lennard Struff has won 6 of the last 10.

Alex Michelsen simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Michelsen — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Brandon Nakashima against Daniel Altmaier on hard. Brandon Nakashima has won 7 of the last 10. Daniel Altmaier has won 6 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Nakashima has been winning 74.2% of first-serve points to Altmaier's 71.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Nakashima.

Pablo Carreno Busta and Valentin Royer meet in the first round at Montreal on Tuesday. Pablo Carreno Busta is 6-4 across recent matches. Valentin Royer has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Busta has been winning 68.2% of first-serve points to Royer's 26.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Busta gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jelena Ostapenko goes up against Shuai Zhang in the Toronto round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko is 8-2 across recent matches. Shuai Zhang has won 4 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Ostapenko has been winning 64.9% of first-serve points to Zhang's 59.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Zhang comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ostapenko fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Elina Svitolina goes up against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Toronto round of 64. Elina Svitolina has won 6 of the last 10. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has won 5 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Svitolina has been winning 63.7% of first-serve points to Maneiro's 59.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Svitolina plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

Jiri Lehecka and Vit Kopriva meet in the round of 64 at Montreal on Tuesday. Jiri Lehecka limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Vit Kopriva is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.6% versus 66.5% on first-serve points in Lehecka's favor. Anything other than a Lehecka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.

Tuesday's Toronto round of 64 pits Maja Chwalinska against Talia Gibson on hard. Talia Gibson is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Maja Chwalinska has dropped 2 straight and sits at 8-2 over the last ten.

Gibson's 63.6% behind the first serve (against 58.6% for Chwalinska) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Little separates them; Gibson gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Donna Vekic and Viktorija Golubic meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Donna Vekic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Viktorija Golubic is 6-4 across recent matches.

Vekic's 68.7% behind the first serve (against 58% for Golubic) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Vekic is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Cameron Norrie against Camilo Ugo Carabelli on hard. Cameron Norrie comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Norrie should have enough here, though Carabelli has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Kamilla Rakhimova goes up against Katerina Siniakova in the Toronto round of 64. Katerina Siniakova has won 4 of the last 10. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 4 of the last 10.

Katerina Siniakova is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Siniakova around 61%. The edge belongs to Siniakova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's Toronto round of 64 pits Anastasia Potapova against Elena Gabriela Ruse on hard. Anastasia Potapova is 7-3 across recent matches. Elena Gabriela Ruse is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Ruse comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Potapova gets the nod on the finest of margins.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Aryna Sabalenka goes up against Moyuka Uchijima in the Toronto round of 64. Aryna Sabalenka is 7-3 across recent matches. Moyuka Uchijima comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Sabalenka has been winning 67.2% of first-serve points to Uchijima's 63.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Uchijima needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Alexei Popyrin goes up against Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Montreal first round. Alexei Popyrin has dropped 5 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Roman Andres Burruchaga is 5-5 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 74.5% versus 65.5% on first-serve points in Popyrin's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Popyrin is exactly that — a lean.

Tuesday's Toronto round of 64 pits Diana Shnaider against Rebecca Sramkova on hard. Diana Shnaider is 5-5 across recent matches. Rebecca Sramkova is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Diana Shnaider simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Sramkova comes in off a compressed schedule. Sramkova needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Tuesday's Toronto first round pits Sloane Stephens against Solana Sierra on hard. Solana Sierra is 5-5 across recent matches. Sloane Stephens has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sierra is exactly that — a lean.

Caty Mcnally and Tatjana Maria meet in the first round at Toronto on Tuesday. Caty Mcnally comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Tatjana Maria is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Caty Mcnally simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Mcnally — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Tuesday's Montreal first round pits Fabian Marozsan against Shintaro Mochizuki on hard. Fabian Marozsan has won 5 of the last 10. Shintaro Mochizuki has won 7 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. If Marozsan plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.