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Todi Predictions & Picks — August 11, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 11, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Tuesday's card at Todi, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gabriele Piraino against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the round of 32. Our calls: Izquierdo over Piraino, Ajdukovic over Luciano, Travaglia over Kicker.

Duje Ajdukovic vs. Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Duje Ajdukovic at 52% lost to Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano (3-6 7-6 6-2).

Pick: Ajdukovic

Win probability: 52% Ajdukovic · Sets: 3 (50%) · most likely score 2-1 (26%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Duje Ajdukovic goes up against Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano in the Todi round of 32. Duje Ajdukovic is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.6% versus 63.5% on first-serve points in Ajdukovic's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Ajdukovic fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Gabriele Piraino vs. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 60% on Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, who won 6-2 6-2.

Pick: Izquierdo

Win probability: 60% Izquierdo · Market: -165 · Sets: 3 (46%) · most likely score 2-0 (33%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Gabriele Piraino goes up against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Todi round of 32. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10). Gabriele Piraino brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Izquierdo around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Izquierdo is exactly that — a lean.

Nicolas Kicker vs. Stefano Travaglia

Not gradedThis match ended in a retirement, advancing Nicolas Kicker. It is excluded from our graded record — no pick is counted as right or wrong.

Pick: Travaglia

Win probability: 66% Travaglia · Market: -254 · Sets: 3 (43%) · most likely score 2-0 (38%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Nicolas Kicker goes up against Stefano Travaglia in the Todi round of 32. Stefano Travaglia has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Nicolas Kicker is 6-4 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Travaglia has been winning 69.6% of first-serve points to Kicker's 63.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Travaglia — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

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Updated Aug 10, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.