One match is on Sunday's card at Cincinnati, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Arthur Fils against Frances Tiafoe in the final. Our calls: Fils over Tiafoe.
Pick: Fils
Win probability: 62% Fils · Market: -174 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)
The Cincinnati title is on the line on Sunday, when Arthur Fils meets Frances Tiafoe. Arthur Fils is rolling — 5 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Frances Tiafoe brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Tiafoe comes in off a compressed schedule. Fils should have enough here, though Tiafoe has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
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