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Winston-Salem Predictions & Picks — August 25, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · August 25, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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10 matches are on Tuesday's card at Winston-Salem, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Benjamin Bonzi against Quentin Halys in the round of 32. Our calls: Halys over Bonzi, Medvedev over Damm, Zandschulp over Vallejo, Darderi over Bellucci, Collignon over Hijikata, Navone over Duckworth, and 4 more.

The boldest call on the card: Halys over Bonzi — the market disagrees with us there.

Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesana

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Daniel Altmaier at 55% before the match, and Daniel Altmaier won 6-1 7-6.

Pick: Altmaier

Win probability: 55% Altmaier · Market: +102 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Daniel Altmaier against Francisco Comesana on hard. Daniel Altmaier comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Francisco Comesana comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Altmaier fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 65% on Raphael Collignon; Rinky Hijikata won 3-6 7-6 7-6.

Pick: Collignon

Win probability: 65% Collignon · Market: -121 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Raphael Collignon against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Raphael Collignon has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Rinky Hijikata is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.6% versus 68.8% on first-serve points in Collignon's favor. Collignon should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Vallejo

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Botic Van De Zandschulp was our 60% pick, and won 6-2 6-0.

Pick: Zandschulp

Win probability: 60% Zandschulp · Market: -144 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Botic Van De Zandschulp goes up against Daniel Vallejo in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 across recent matches. Daniel Vallejo comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The serve is where this match separates: Zandschulp has been winning 72% of first-serve points to Vallejo's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zandschulp.

Luciano Darderi vs Mattia Bellucci

✓ Pick rightNailed it. We had Luciano Darderi at 52% before the match, and Luciano Darderi won 2-6 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Darderi

Win probability: 52% Darderi · Market: +101 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Luciano Darderi goes up against Mattia Bellucci in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Luciano Darderi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Mattia Bellucci is 5-5 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Darderi fractionally more likely to land the big points.

James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 59% on Mariano Navone; James Duckworth won 6-3 7-6.

Pick: Navone

Win probability: 59% Navone · Market: -139 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits James Duckworth against Mariano Navone on hard. Mariano Navone comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. James Duckworth is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Navone is exactly that — a lean.

Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys

✗ Pick wrongA miss: Quentin Halys at 51% lost to Benjamin Bonzi (2-6 7-6 6-3).

Pick: HalysUpset call

Upset call: the market favors Bonzi; our numbers say Halys.

Win probability: 51% Halys · Market: -158 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Benjamin Bonzi goes up against Quentin Halys in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Quentin Halys comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Benjamin Bonzi has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Halys has been winning 77.3% of first-serve points to Bonzi's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Halys fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Damm

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 70% on Daniil Medvedev; Martin Damm won 7-5 6-3.

Pick: Medvedev

Win probability: 70% Medvedev · Market: -312 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (46%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Martin Damm in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Daniil Medvedev has won 6 of the last 10. Martin Damm has won 4 of the last 10.

Daniil Medvedev is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Medvedev around 70%. The edge belongs to Medvedev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Sebastian Baez was our 68% pick, and won 7-5 7-6.

Pick: Baez

Win probability: 68% Baez · Market: -308 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (42%)

Hugo Grenier and Sebastian Baez meet in the round of 32 at Winston-Salem on Tuesday. Sebastian Baez has won 6 of the last 10. Hugo Grenier comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Sebastian Baez simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Grenier comes in off a compressed schedule. Baez should have enough here, though Grenier has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Luca Van Assche

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Luca Van Assche at 62%, but Aleksandar Kovacevic won 6-1 7-6.

Pick: Assche

Win probability: 62% Assche · Market: -125 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Luca Van Assche meet in the round of 32 at Winston-Salem on Tuesday. Luca Van Assche comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 2 of the last 10.

Luca Van Assche simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kovacevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Assche should have enough here, though Kovacevic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Adam Walton; Ignacio Buse won 6-2 5-7 6-3.

Pick: Walton

Win probability: 58% Walton · Market: -163 · We call it in 3 sets (52%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (29%)

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Adam Walton against Ignacio Buse on hard. Adam Walton is 5-5 across recent matches. Ignacio Buse has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 68.1% on first-serve points in Walton's favor. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Walton gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Aug 24, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.