Monterrey & Winston-Salem predictions, August 25, 2026: Bonzi vs Halys, Medvedev vs Damm

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Benjamin Bonzi goes up against Quentin Halys in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Quentin Halys comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Benjamin Bonzi has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Halys has been winning 77.3% of first-serve points to Bonzi's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Halys fractionally more likely to land the big points.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Daniil Medvedev goes up against Martin Damm in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Daniil Medvedev has won 6 of the last 10. Martin Damm has won 4 of the last 10.

Daniil Medvedev is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Medvedev around 70%. The edge belongs to Medvedev — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Botic Van De Zandschulp goes up against Daniel Vallejo in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Botic Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 across recent matches. Daniel Vallejo comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The serve is where this match separates: Zandschulp has been winning 72% of first-serve points to Vallejo's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zandschulp.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Luciano Darderi goes up against Mattia Bellucci in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Luciano Darderi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10). Mattia Bellucci is 5-5 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Darderi fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Raphael Collignon against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Raphael Collignon has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Rinky Hijikata is 4-6 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.6% versus 68.8% on first-serve points in Collignon's favor. Collignon should have enough here, though Hijikata has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Monterrey round of 32 pits Diane Parry against Donna Vekic on hard. Diane Parry has won 5 of the last 10. Donna Vekic is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10).

Diane Parry is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Parry around 51%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Parry fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits James Duckworth against Mariano Navone on hard. Mariano Navone comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. James Duckworth is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Duckworth comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Navone is exactly that — a lean.

Aleksandar Kovacevic and Luca Van Assche meet in the round of 32 at Winston-Salem on Tuesday. Luca Van Assche comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Aleksandar Kovacevic has won 2 of the last 10.

Luca Van Assche simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Kovacevic comes in off a compressed schedule. Assche should have enough here, though Kovacevic has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Maria Timofeeva goes up against Shuai Zhang in the Monterrey round of 32. Shuai Zhang is 4-6 across recent matches. Maria Timofeeva comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Zhang.

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Adam Walton against Ignacio Buse on hard. Adam Walton is 5-5 across recent matches. Ignacio Buse has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 71.1% versus 68.1% on first-serve points in Walton's favor. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Walton gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Tuesday's Monterrey round of 32 pits Anna Bondar against Cristina Bucsa on hard. Anna Bondar limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Cristina Bucsa is 2-8 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Bondar has been winning 64.5% of first-serve points to Bucsa's 58.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bondar is exactly that — a lean.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Anhelina Kalinina goes up against Maya Joint in the Monterrey round of 32. Anhelina Kalinina has won 4 of the last 10. Maya Joint limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kalinina fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Tuesday's Winston-Salem round of 32 pits Daniel Altmaier against Francisco Comesana on hard. Daniel Altmaier comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Francisco Comesana comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Altmaier fractionally more likely to land the big points.

Janice Tjen and Yuliia Starodubtseva meet in the round of 16 at Monterrey on Tuesday. Janice Tjen comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Yuliia Starodubtseva has won 4 of the last 10.

Tjen's 67.4% behind the first serve (against 58.2% for Starodubtseva) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Tjen comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tjen.

Hugo Grenier and Sebastian Baez meet in the round of 32 at Winston-Salem on Tuesday. Sebastian Baez has won 6 of the last 10. Hugo Grenier comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Sebastian Baez simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Grenier comes in off a compressed schedule. Baez should have enough here, though Grenier has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Tuesday's Monterrey round of 32 pits Maya Joint against Panna Udvardy on hard. Maya Joint is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Panna Udvardy is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).

Maya Joint simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Joint is exactly that — a lean.

Clara Tauson and Renata Zarazua meet in the round of 32 at Monterrey on Tuesday. Clara Tauson comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Renata Zarazua has won 3 of the last 10.

Tauson's 67.2% behind the first serve (against 57.1% for Zarazua) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Tauson should have enough here, though Zarazua has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Darja Vidmanova and Kimberly Birrell meet in the round of 32 at Monterrey on Tuesday. Kimberly Birrell is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10). Darja Vidmanova comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Birrell fractionally more likely to land the big points.