Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Hugo Dellien meet in the round of 16 at Porto 2 on Thursday. Hugo Dellien is 9-1 across recent matches. Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-7 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Bailly comes in off a compressed schedule; Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule. Bailly needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.