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Porto 2 Predictions & Picks — September 3, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · September 3, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Thursday's card at Porto 2, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Alejandro Moro Canas against Marco Cecchinato in the round of 16. Our calls: Cecchinato over Canas, Dellien over Bailly, Kuzmanov over Damas.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo Dellien

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 76% on Hugo Dellien, who won 6-4 6-0.

Pick: Dellien

Win probability: 76% Dellien · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (47%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Hugo Dellien meet in the round of 16 at Porto 2 on Thursday. Hugo Dellien is 9-1 across recent matches. Gilles Arnaud Bailly is 3-7 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Bailly comes in off a compressed schedule; Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule. Bailly needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Miguel Damas

✗ Pick wrongMissed it. We had Dimitar Kuzmanov at 61%, but Miguel Damas won 7-5 3-6 7-6.

Pick: Kuzmanov

Win probability: 61% Kuzmanov · Market: -117 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)

Dimitar Kuzmanov and Miguel Damas meet in the round of 16 at Porto 2 on Thursday. Dimitar Kuzmanov has won 6 of the last 10. Miguel Damas is 2-8 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 64.3% versus 61.2% on first-serve points in Kuzmanov's favor. Kuzmanov comes in off a compressed schedule; Damas comes in off a compressed schedule. Kuzmanov should have enough here, though Damas has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Marco Cecchinato; Alejandro Moro Canas won 6-3 6-4.

Pick: Cecchinato

Win probability: 58% Cecchinato · Market: -143 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)

Alejandro Moro Canas and Marco Cecchinato meet in the round of 16 at Porto 2 on Thursday. Marco Cecchinato has won 6 of the last 10. Alejandro Moro Canas has won 5 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Cecchinato gets the nod on the finest of margins.

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Updated Sep 3, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.