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US Open Predictions & Picks — September 11, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · September 11, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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One match is on Friday's card at US Open, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Coco Gauff against Elena Rybakina in the semifinal. Our calls: Rybakina over Gauff.

Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Elena Rybakina was our 60% pick, and won 3-6 6-4 6-4.

Pick: Rybakina

Win probability: 60% Rybakina · Market: -103 · Sets: 2 (65%) · most likely score 2-0 (40%)

Friday's US Open semifinal pits Coco Gauff against Elena Rybakina on hard. Elena Rybakina is rolling — 9 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Coco Gauff has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall.

Rybakina's 70% behind the first serve (against 65.8% for Gauff) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Rybakina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

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Updated Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.